Edentulism in Brazil: trends, projections and expectations until 2040.
Identifieur interne : 000881 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000880; suivant : 000882Edentulism in Brazil: trends, projections and expectations until 2040.
Auteurs : Mayra Cardoso [Oman] ; Ivan Balducci [Brésil] ; Daniel De Moraes Telles [Brésil] ; Eduardo José Veras Lourenço [Brésil] ; Lafayette Nogueira Júnior [Brésil]Source :
- Ciencia & saude coletiva [ 1678-4561 ] ; 2016.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- MESH :
- épidémiologie : Bouche édentée, Brésil.
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Enquêtes de santé dentaire, Femelle, Humains, Jeune adulte, Mâle, Prévision, Sujet âgé.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- epidemiology : Brazil, Mouth, Edentulous.
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Dental Health Surveys, Female, Forecasting, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Young Adult.
Abstract
The aim of this study was to examine the edentulism rates in Brazil and make projections for the next years. Data were collected from three national oral health surveys. The percentage of edentulous jaws was calculated. Projections were made for the years 2020, 2030 and 2040, assuming that edentulism follows a logistic function. Population projections were also performed. Annual change in proportion of edentulous jaws was -0.04% for teenagers, -0.96% for adults and 0.76% for the elderly. By 2040, edentulous jaws will be virtually zero among teenagers, 1.77% among adults and 85.96% among the elderly. Teenagers will slightly decrease in number; adults will increase and subsequently decrease; the elderly will continue to increase. In teenagers and adults, the number of edentulous jaws will decrease, being approximately 616,000 in 2040. In the elderly, it will increase alarmingly, reaching over 64 million in 2040. Edentulism is declining in Brazil among teenagers and middle-aged adults, but is still increasing and will continue to increase for the next decades among the elderly.
DOI: 10.1590/1413-81232015214.13672015
PubMed: 27076022
Affiliations:
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Paulista Júlio de Mesquita Filho, São José dos Campos, SP, Brasil.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Brésil</country><wicri:regionArea>Departamento de Odontologia Social, Instituto de Ciência e Tecnologia, Universidade Estadual Paulista Júlio de Mesquita Filho, São José dos Campos, SP</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">État de São Paulo</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Telles, Daniel De Moraes" sort="Telles, Daniel De Moraes" uniqKey="Telles D" first="Daniel De Moraes" last="Telles">Daniel De Moraes Telles</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>Faculdade de Odontologia, Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Brésil</country><wicri:regionArea>Faculdade de Odontologia, Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, RJ</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">État de Rio de 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(épidémiologie)</term><term>Brésil (épidémiologie)</term><term>Enquêtes de santé dentaire</term><term>Femelle</term><term>Humains</term><term>Jeune adulte</term><term>Mâle</term><term>Prévision</term><term>Sujet âgé</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Brazil</term><term>Mouth, Edentulous</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="épidémiologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Bouche édentée</term><term>Brésil</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adult</term><term>Aged</term><term>Dental Health Surveys</term><term>Female</term><term>Forecasting</term><term>Humans</term><term>Male</term><term>Middle Aged</term><term>Young Adult</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adulte</term><term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term><term>Enquêtes de santé dentaire</term><term>Femelle</term><term>Humains</term><term>Jeune adulte</term><term>Mâle</term><term>Prévision</term><term>Sujet âgé</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The aim of this study was to examine the edentulism rates in Brazil and make projections for the next years. Data were collected from three national oral health surveys. The percentage of edentulous jaws was calculated. Projections were made for the years 2020, 2030 and 2040, assuming that edentulism follows a logistic function. Population projections were also performed. Annual change in proportion of edentulous jaws was -0.04% for teenagers, -0.96% for adults and 0.76% for the elderly. By 2040, edentulous jaws will be virtually zero among teenagers, 1.77% among adults and 85.96% among the elderly. Teenagers will slightly decrease in number; adults will increase and subsequently decrease; the elderly will continue to increase. In teenagers and adults, the number of edentulous jaws will decrease, being approximately 616,000 in 2040. In the elderly, it will increase alarmingly, reaching over 64 million in 2040. Edentulism is declining in Brazil among teenagers and middle-aged adults, but is still increasing and will continue to increase for the next decades among the elderly.</div></front></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>Brésil</li><li>Oman</li></country><region><li>État de Rio de Janeiro</li><li>État de São Paulo</li></region></list><tree><country name="Oman"><noRegion><name sortKey="Cardoso, Mayra" sort="Cardoso, Mayra" uniqKey="Cardoso M" first="Mayra" last="Cardoso">Mayra Cardoso</name></noRegion></country><country name="Brésil"><region name="État de São Paulo"><name sortKey="Balducci, Ivan" sort="Balducci, Ivan" uniqKey="Balducci I" first="Ivan" last="Balducci">Ivan Balducci</name></region><name sortKey="Lourenco, Eduardo Jose Veras" sort="Lourenco, Eduardo Jose Veras" uniqKey="Lourenco E" first="Eduardo José Veras" last="Lourenço">Eduardo José Veras Lourenço</name><name sortKey="Nogueira Junior, Lafayette" sort="Nogueira Junior, Lafayette" uniqKey="Nogueira Junior L" first="Lafayette" last="Nogueira Júnior">Lafayette Nogueira Júnior</name><name sortKey="Telles, Daniel De Moraes" sort="Telles, Daniel De Moraes" uniqKey="Telles D" first="Daniel De Moraes" last="Telles">Daniel De Moraes Telles</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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